ACU @ NDSU -6; O/U 55.5; Mythical Score NDSU 31-25
Mercer -9 @ Rhode Island; O/U 50.5; Mythical Score Mercer 30 RI 21
UT Martin @ Montana st -15; O/U 53.5; Mythical Score Montana 34-19
Lehigh -5 @ Idaho; O/U 51.5; Mythical Score Lehigh 28 Idaho 23
I’ll State @ UC Davis -2; O/U 46.5; Mythical Score UC Davis 24-22
Tarleton State @ USD -10; O/U 54.5; Mythical Scores USD 32-22
Villanova @ UIW -12; O/U 51.5; Mythical Score UIW 32-20
Montana @ SDSU -7; O/U 54.5; Mythical Score SDSU 31-24
SECOND ROUND
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
Some playoff facts
Top offensive team. AbileneChristian. 6,230 yds
Worst offensive team Villanova. 4,237 yds. Give Nova 2nd worse just noticed Lehigh with 4,176 yds.
Top scoring team. Montana State. 488 points
Worst scoring team. Villanova. 317 points
Shortest virtual offensive field. NDSU BISON. 78 yds
Longest virtual offensive field. Rhode Island 101 yds
Shortest virtual defensive field. ACU 97 yds
Longest virtual defensive field. SDSU 154 yds
Abilene Christian can move the ball but the defense gives the yards back. On top of that the NDSU defense is very stout, long defensive field and their offense scored 465 points on a virtual 78 yd field. Tough hill to climb. Expect a big spread and long odds
Top offensive team. AbileneChristian. 6,230 yds
Worst offensive team Villanova. 4,237 yds. Give Nova 2nd worse just noticed Lehigh with 4,176 yds.
Top scoring team. Montana State. 488 points
Worst scoring team. Villanova. 317 points
Shortest virtual offensive field. NDSU BISON. 78 yds
Longest virtual offensive field. Rhode Island 101 yds
Shortest virtual defensive field. ACU 97 yds
Longest virtual defensive field. SDSU 154 yds
Abilene Christian can move the ball but the defense gives the yards back. On top of that the NDSU defense is very stout, long defensive field and their offense scored 465 points on a virtual 78 yd field. Tough hill to climb. Expect a big spread and long odds
Last edited by JBB2 on Tue Dec 03, 2024 2:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
Montana State has the big spread at -15 after adjustments. It’s almost all strength of schedule adjustment. Before adjustment it was MSU 28-25.
Reasons for adjustment:
Montana State has 1,000 yds more offense than UT Martin and
UT Martin gave up over 1,000 yds more on defense
Reasons for adjustment:
Montana State has 1,000 yds more offense than UT Martin and
UT Martin gave up over 1,000 yds more on defense
Last edited by JBB2 on Tue Dec 03, 2024 2:16 am, edited 2 times in total.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
The narrowest spread is Ill State @ UC Davis -2. This could be a real good game with equally matched teams. Classic Big Fluffy vs MVFC.
The Bison might be close with the -6 spread. The spread is kept close by ACUs big offense which may sputter in the Fabulous Fargo Dome.
Another close one is Lehigh -5 @ Idaho. If Lehigh defense is stout enough to get their game they will be on the road to the win.
The most interesting game to me is Montana @ SDSU. If Montana can do something about that stingy Jacks rushing D and get close to their 205 yds rushing they could pull the upset but if not it could still be a good competitive game.
The rest are bigger spreads with less promise for close games but there will be a lot of great players on the field. The replay option on ESPN+ might come in handy. I’ll use the IPad and tv.
The Bison might be close with the -6 spread. The spread is kept close by ACUs big offense which may sputter in the Fabulous Fargo Dome.
Another close one is Lehigh -5 @ Idaho. If Lehigh defense is stout enough to get their game they will be on the road to the win.
The most interesting game to me is Montana @ SDSU. If Montana can do something about that stingy Jacks rushing D and get close to their 205 yds rushing they could pull the upset but if not it could still be a good competitive game.
The rest are bigger spreads with less promise for close games but there will be a lot of great players on the field. The replay option on ESPN+ might come in handy. I’ll use the IPad and tv.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
I haven’t seen the odds yet but the rout factor is all Bison. We will see that on the money line odds. The 6,000+ yds on offense can keep ACU close in the calculations but there are clues to a much bigger Bison win.
Of course, in some cases, these are still college kids and any given Saturday anything can happen. We are conservative.
The GAM tends to keep things tight. It will do 70%-75% when using it as a guide to the spread, the O/U and the money line. 3 chances every game, 6 choices.
I have a feeling the Bison will be big favorites too, I haven’t seen the odds. It might be NDSU -26 for -115 or maybe more. Not sure about over under? It’s the toughest call. Guessing it will be close to what we are showing. the money line might be 5:1 or more for NDSU. I might take ACU if they get enough points. The GAM is telling us it’s going to be hard for The Herd to cover a big spread but they are expected to win.
Of course, in some cases, these are still college kids and any given Saturday anything can happen. We are conservative.
The GAM tends to keep things tight. It will do 70%-75% when using it as a guide to the spread, the O/U and the money line. 3 chances every game, 6 choices.
I have a feeling the Bison will be big favorites too, I haven’t seen the odds. It might be NDSU -26 for -115 or maybe more. Not sure about over under? It’s the toughest call. Guessing it will be close to what we are showing. the money line might be 5:1 or more for NDSU. I might take ACU if they get enough points. The GAM is telling us it’s going to be hard for The Herd to cover a big spread but they are expected to win.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
Please never wager and don’t follow my advice but here it is. All odds are from FanDuel. Bold are GAM numbers
ACU @ NDSU -6; O/U 55.5; Mythical Score NDSU 31-25
NDSU -24.5/-110; ACU 24,5/-110: GAM says NDSU may have difficulty covering the spread. So what? Take NDSU to cover 24.5 for $110. Most exciting bet in football
O/U 56.5 /-110. Too close to call no bet
Money Line NDSU -2200; ACU 1100. Ridiculous. No bet.
ACU @ NDSU -6; O/U 55.5; Mythical Score NDSU 31-25
NDSU -24.5/-110; ACU 24,5/-110: GAM says NDSU may have difficulty covering the spread. So what? Take NDSU to cover 24.5 for $110. Most exciting bet in football
O/U 56.5 /-110. Too close to call no bet
Money Line NDSU -2200; ACU 1100. Ridiculous. No bet.
Last edited by JBB2 on Tue Dec 03, 2024 3:48 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
Please never wager and don’t follow my advice but here it is. All odds are from FanDuel. Bold are GAM numbers
Mercer -9 @ Rhode Island; O/U 50.5; Mythical Score Mercer 30 RI 21
Mercer -10.5/-110;RI 10.5/-110; O/U 49.5/-110; Money Mercer -400; RI 320
GAM shows Mercer may have trouble covering. Take RI 10.5 pts for $110
O/U GAM shows over by a hair. Take over for $110
Money take Mercer for $400
FINAL: Mercer 17-10. Paid out $320. In $400 +$80
Mercer -9 @ Rhode Island; O/U 50.5; Mythical Score Mercer 30 RI 21
Mercer -10.5/-110;RI 10.5/-110; O/U 49.5/-110; Money Mercer -400; RI 320
GAM shows Mercer may have trouble covering. Take RI 10.5 pts for $110
O/U GAM shows over by a hair. Take over for $110
Money take Mercer for $400
FINAL: Mercer 17-10. Paid out $320. In $400 +$80
Last edited by JBB2 on Sat Dec 07, 2024 10:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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JBB2
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Re: SECOND ROUND
Please never wager and don’t follow my advice but here it is. All odds are from FanDuel. Bold are GAM numbers
UT Martin @ Montana st -15; O/U 53.5; Mythical Score Montana 34-19
MSU -18.5/-110; UTM 18.5/-110; O/U 55.5/-110;Money Line MSU -1050; UTM 700
UT Martin @ Montana st -15; O/U 53.5; Mythical Score Montana 34-19
MSU -18.5/-110; UTM 18.5/-110; O/U 55.5/-110;Money Line MSU -1050; UTM 700
- GAM shows MSU might have trouble covering. Taker UTM 18.5 pts for $110
- O/U GAM shows under 55.5 take under for $110
- Money Line no bet
Last edited by JBB2 on Sat Dec 07, 2024 11:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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