Bison Forum

A Big Game for the Yotes. Odds makers may have it wrong
We have run the sheet and show: USD 29 ISU 30

The Cyclones will have trouble winning this one. Covering the spread will be an afterthought. Taking the Yotes and 15.5 turns the mythical final score to USD 44.5 ISU 30. That seems pretty good for a team that gives NDSU trouble.

The O/U of 46.5 is probably low

Money Line has a nice return on the upset

USD is coming in with a talented team and a new head Coach with new staff members.

Based on last season they stack up power wise like this
Can they replace what they lost? I haven’t done the research. Going into 2025 they are one of the nation’s premier FCS teams. It should be a great game. Ames is a great spot for a game.

I'll take +15.5 assuming they don't drop off from last year. Talented team.

Upset hopes are dimming for this one

Can they replace what they lost? I haven’t done the research. Going into 2025 they are one of the nation’s premier FCS teams. It should be a great game. Ames is a great spot for a game.

I’ve done the research now

• Their QB and a top running back return

• They lost one of 2 thousand yard backs.

• They lost all top receivers

• I didn’t see many, if any, of their top tacklers on the roster

Iowa State comes off a big win over Kansas State 24-21. The GAM had it close: Iowa State 27.3156 Kansas State 26.8591. This gives us a solid read on the Iowa State team. USD still needs more analysis on the 2024 statistics.

After adjusting The Yotes 2024 offensive statics down 104 yds/game for loss of offensive power and weakened their defense 42 yards the GAM tells me

• USD +8

• Mythical Score USD 21 Iowa State 29

We saw this a moment ago on fan duel
15.5 should do it, making the mythical score 36.5 - 29. USD plus points looks good.

We have 2 indicators on the O/U of 47.5, both 50 or greater. Over looks good

• ALERT 7:52PM 8/24/25: new information provides a third O/U indicator of 45. This new calculation is run independently of the mythical score. As always, PROCEED WITH CAUTION! as you best see fit.

• The new breakthrough in GAM theory on the always tricky over/under calculation is resulting in a new cyphering process for the O/U

We don’t show USD winning, only preventing Iowa State from covering 15.5. That generous 540 is only for the faithful.