Bison Forum

This is not a recommendation or advice.

Oil bro, oil.

Continuing the anatomy of a trade

Chevron near 52 week low. Pays 5% goes X-date 5/19. Sell puts around 135, an important first sigma marker. They have been at the money. Nice premium and if put a dividend too. I need 137 for a condor next week unless I get put at 135 Friday. Be tactical when pricing the call side. It might explode upwards. Consensus price target for the year is around 185. We were in the 160s a couple weeks ago.

Kevin’s India/Pakastan scenario is heating up. Big swan looming. Prepare for sell-off? Oil spike? Media induced TDS explosion?

kevin wrote: ↑Tue May 06, 2025 7:41 pm don't forget: a shooting star is actually a hammer if venus is currently in retrograde

. That’s the whole problem bro!

Options expiration day.

Signals tell me I may get a chance to close puts early. If this extends past the open they will get cheap fast. I’m watching these. These signals are fun to find and watch and often predictive but they are just signs along the trail. Everybody invested watches them from the very basic are we up or down today to the other extreme wondering about the hammer with Venus in retrograde. It’s all part of the fun.

It took the overnight double bottom about 7 hours to form. Now seven hours later a double top emerges signaling a reversal. traders are telling us they aren’t willing to take it any further. This usually tells the crowd to take profits and look elsewhere. In this case they may trade sideways to the bell waiting to see what stupid money like mine does.

That’s the put trade. Buy low sell high. Rinse and repeat aiming for a nice chunk of the quarterly dividend every week or two.

When I trade options I keep a couple things in mind:

• I never use margin. I fund the trade myself or I can’t afford it

• I keep my options risk net long, the same as someone buying the stock outright.

Not using margin? Do you drink lite beer?

Anyway, I took a shave for the first time in awhile last week. I successfully timed the India/pakistan mess but I didn’t take into account that everyone hates both countries and hopes they kill each other. Best meme I saw was “I just hope both teams have fun” lol

kevin wrote: ↑Sun May 11, 2025 3:14 pm Not using margin? Do you drink lite beer?

Anyway, I took a shave for the first time in awhile last week. I successfully timed the India/pakistan mess but I didn’t take into account that everyone hates both countries and hopes they kill each other. Best meme I saw was “I just hope both teams have fun” lol

At my age I’m just squeezing the lemon.

You’re young, presumably, and obviously smart. You’re bound to be net on the trades. Congratulations on the winning streak!

kevin wrote: ↑Sun May 11, 2025 5:54 pm https://x.com/anarseldain/status/192119 ... 53347?s=46

I agree. Yes indeed!