Page 6 of 6
Re: CFP - The James Madison SAGA
Posted: Fri Jan 16, 2026 3:59 pm
by JBB2
They have it locked down pretty tight. Dozens upon dozens of parleys of every nature. The GAM only deals with team performances. This one has potential:
- IMG_3462.jpeg (238.77 KiB) Viewed 138 times
GAM SAYS:
Total Score. 49
Statistics Show Both Teams Average Over 400 Yards
STATISTICS SHOW NEITHER DEFENSE ALLOWS OVER 300 YARDS
GAM SAYS INDIANA BY 7
Re: CFP - The James Madison SAGA
Posted: Mon Jan 19, 2026 11:52 pm
by JBB2
Big game food for thought. 6-7 million for operating budget and competitive NIL money. It might be doable
- IMG_3497.jpeg (95.87 KiB) Viewed 118 times
Re: CFP - The James Madison SAGA
Posted: Tue Jan 20, 2026 11:37 am
by JBB2
GAM showed Indiana 28-21.
Final score Indiana 27-21.
Nobody knows football like, well, like I do. It’s the game within the game.
Vegas made no mistake. Fully prepared it’s hard enough to beat these guys. parleys just make losses more likely. Fools bet. Nothing but a party favor.
Setting up next season. Lots of challenges in the new opt-in world. Vegas is better than ever. We went toe-to-toe and won the decision.
It was quite the spectacle. I preferred the FCS game. ESPN cancelled till next year. Another football season behind us. 2026 underway.
Re: CFP - The James Madison SAGA
Posted: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:55 pm
by JBB2
APPROVED FOR 1 ON-LINE FCS/FBS FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICATION CREDIT.
PLEASE SEE YOUR ADVISOR.
LEVEL: introductory
TARGET AUDIENCE: layperson.
Course Goal: better understanding of random event impacts on predicted score
University Required Pre-Requisites: leadership roles & minority females/foreigners; LGBTQ in today’s workplace
11 min reading/comprehension time
BEGIN:
Projected GAM result using actual running and passing yards. Everything else is secondary or baked in. Secondary statistics, considered individually, can be dangerous red herrings.
- IMG_3507.jpeg (91.02 KiB) Viewed 96 times
The “natural” score is 21-22 Indiana (20.8-21.8 for use interpreting half points). Std deviation between the natural and predicted scores yields a teams degree of consistency.
Miami on target
Indiana scored more than actual running/passing yds would suggest. Miami defense did not let down. It was the blocked kick. A random event but a baked in advantage for Indiana showing up over time but not in any single event. The GAM relies on data over time, predicting 28-21, not 22-21.
Another great example of this was the NDSU Iowa game. Upset predicted to exact score resulting from BISON pick 6. Las Vegas was decimated by the 13.5 points they were giving BISON fans like candy. Actual spread was BISON -2.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-footb ... ince-2010/
